Research

The Effects of MMF Regulations: Theory and Evidence

The 2023 U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) reforms aim to address Money Market Fund (MMF) investors' susceptibility to run by implementing liquidity fees and raising liquidity requirements. Our theoretical model reports: a) The liquidity fees reduce dilution costs during MMF runs, ensuring fairer cost distribution between early redeeming investors and long-term shareholders. b) Balancing liquidity fees and asset liquidation strategies is critical to managing liquidity stress. c) For (small) large MMFs, the sponsor support provides (higher) lower marginal returns in terms of haircut reduction.  Empirical findings show improved liquidity for prime funds. However, the increased regulatory burden poses challenges for institutional prime funds: They experience fund outflow and disproportionate exit risks. The reforms strengthen MMF resilience, but future research should explore the long-term sustainability of institutional prime funds. 

Geopolitical Conflict and Money Market Funds (With Dr. Meghana Vaidya)

In this paper, we evaluate the effect of the Russia-Ukraine crisis of 2022 on the US and European Money Market Fund (MMF) industries. We find an outflow of approximately $22 billion from the prime MMFs compared to the government MMFs in the US,  suggesting a `flight to safety.' Hence, we document the spillover effects of geopolitical conflict in Europe on US MMFs. Contrary to the existing literature, the MMF sponsorship does not lead to differential fund outflow. Using issuer-level data, we find no evidence of asset reallocation from the US or European MMFs. European MMFs observe no `flight-to-safety' behavior. These results are robust to a battery of robustness checks.  Finally, we discuss the implications of our results for investors and regulators.

The US Debt Crisis of 2023 and Money Market Funds (With Dr. Trupti Chaure and Dr. Nima Vafai)

We study the fiscal debt crisis in the US during early 2023 on Money Market Funds (MMFs). We report a spike in yields by approximately 150 basis points for MMFs investing in federal government securities. In addition, due to the debt crisis, investors started withdrawing money from treasury funds due to a "flight to safety." However, there is no statistically significant asset flow from the government and prime MMFs. Finally, we discuss the implications of our results. 

( Updated draft is coming soon..)

Does Bank Sponsorship Matter During Banking Crisis: Evidence from The US Money Market Funds (With Dr. Pritam Saha)

This paper studies the effects of the 2023 US banking crisis on the money market fund (MMF) industry. In a novel result, MMFs sponsored by banks experienced significantly higher fund outflow after the crisis began. In addition, funds with an ex-ante exposure to the financial sector saw large fund outflow. Furthermore, Funds holding higher illiquid assets were subjected to higher investment outflow. Finally, we found evidence that the liquidity-contingent fees imposed during the 2016 MMF reforms exacerbated the run on prime MMFs. Therefore, we provide evidence of the limitations of the 2016 MMF reforms.

How Safe Are "Safe" Money Market Funds? (With Dr. Drew Winters)

The United Kingdom (UK) Prime Minister announced "the Growth Plan," which included borrowed spending and tax cuts, in September 2022. This study evaluates the spillover effects of this fiscal shock on Money Market Funds (MMFs). Constant Net Asset Value (CNAV) MMFs were hitherto assumed to be immune to the runs. However, we find that the Pound sterling-dominated CNAV MMFs faced investment outflow, and the Bank of England's interventions reversed the money flow. MMFs that have more liquidity faced fewer redemptions. MMFs whose liquidity approached the regulatory threshold faced higher redemptions. Finally, we find that MMFs exposed to the UK face capital flight. Therefore, the results of this paper show that MMF reforms, such as redemption gates, had limited effectiveness during the crisis. 

Corporate Investment and Trade Policy Uncertainty

Presentations (*scheduled): Gies College of Business, EBES* (Berlin), BARC (Dhaka), University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign


From 2016 to 2019, the United States and China engaged in a trade conflict. As a result of tariffs imposed by the US and retaliation from China that started in 2018, the US economy witnessed an unprecedented increase in trade policy uncertainty (TPU). Using a new instrumental variable, I find a significant negative relation between aggregate TPU and corporate investment. Deviating from the existing literature in corporate finance that uses measures of overall economic policy uncertainty (EPU), I use a focused measure of TPU to show that a real options channel partly drives the relationship between uncertainty and corporate investment. Furthermore, I identify a foreign exchange channel: businesses more exposed to exchange rate fluctuations are also more susceptible to the negative effect of TPU. These findings are robust to controlling for firm-level and time-level fixed effects, using an alternative definition of aggregate TPU and firm-level (rather than aggregate) TPU.

The Pandemic, Gender, and (firm) Performance

Presentations (*scheduled): EBES* (Berlin), BARC (Dhaka), University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Do corporate financial decisions made by female executives differ from that of male executives? This paper tries to answer the question by using firm-level data. Using a unique instrumental variable, I identify a few critical differences between corporations run by gender-homogeneous versus gender-heterogeneous executive boards. First, the firms run by heterogeneous groups issue less debt. Second, the heterogeneous boards experience positive asset growth. However, there is no significant difference between the two groups when making an acquisition, market leverage, and equity issuance decisions. These results are robust to industry-level fixed effects, an alternative definition of the gender diversity of a corporate board, and whether a firm has a female CEO. Moreover, when faced with uncertainty related to the pandemic, both groups make similar capital structures and corporate investment decisions. The results of this study point to the 'Male Executive Overconfidence' theory in financial economics.

Do Political Closeness Pays During Social Distancing Era? (With Dr. Nima Vafai)

(Draft Available Upon Request)

We use novel hand-collected data on political connections to find politically connected firms earn more positive (less negative) Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CARs) than those without political connections as a response to favorable (unfavorable) macroeconomic news. Using the Difference-in-Difference technique, we show that firms with political ties have performed better during post-pandemic recovery. This paper employs machine learning algorithms to identify the mechanisms behind these results. Our work theorizes that corporate executives either gather helpful information about policy formulation from their interactions with government officials or exploit economic favors in a quid-pro-quo arrangement.